The Henry Dwyer Racing stable has two runners today at Geelong in ARAPILES and SURE STRATEGY.
The rail is back to the true at Geelong having been out 10m at then most recent meeting and that should leave a magnificent racing strip for today’s card. The track will start a Good 4 and may get upgraded as the meeting unfolds. Light winds won’t impact racing greatly and if I was to have a guess, I’d suggest on speed horses will have a slight edge.
Geelong – Good (4)
Race 3 (2.10pm) Newcomb Sand & Soil 3YO Maiden Plate
No.1 ARAPILES – Damien Thornten (Barrier 5)
ARAPILES heads to Geelong on Friday where he will contest a 1300m Maiden. He has drawn well in gate five and Damien Thornton will ride.
ARAPILES got back off a moderate tempo at Ballarat on debut and worked to the line reasonably well over the 1200m. He didn’t look 100% comfortable in the heavy track here at Geelong last start and was still quite green over the concluding stages. He’s going to get a lovely run from gate five and should be set to peak here third up. Aside from one or two key dangers at the top of the market, this isn’t an overly strong race.
He will run well today at odds and while the favourite SENSATIONALISATION looks very hard to beat, he should be thereabouts in the top four.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $21 (as at 8am)
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Race 4 (2.45pm) Connect Tel Maiden Plate
No.14 SURE STRATEGY – Lucinda Boyd (Barrier 2)
SURE STRATEGY also heads to Geelong today where she will resume in a 1400m Maiden. She has drawn gate two and Lucinda Boyd will ride.
This isn’t an overly strong maiden. SURE STRATEGY got better as she got deeper into her first preparation and subsequently out to a mile. She resumes over a suitable trip here at 1400m and from gate two she can get a lovely run in transit. She has enjoyed a jump out at both Ararat and Ballarat and wasn’t pushed against some decent rivals and today she will get her chance from the gate and this is a suitable pipe-opener for the campaign.
Her fitness is good enough to run a nice ride today and while she will definetely improve, in an open race she is a top four chance from the nice draw.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $12 (as at 8am)