MERRY CHRISTMAS
The Henry Dwyer Racing stable has two runners today in FIREBASE CORAL and TARZ LE ROSE running at Geelong.
Geelong – Good (4)
The track at Geelong will come up a Good 4 on race morning and likely get upgraded throughout the day. The rail is back to the true position, having been right out in recent meetings, which means plenty of fresh ground and with southerly winds I’d think being on speed will give some edge.
Race 3 (1.46 pm) bet365 Racing Refunds Maiden Plate
No.9 FIREBASE CORAL – Declan Bates (Barrier 5)
FIREBASE CORAL (5) heads to Geelong on Sunday, where she will contest a 1400m Maiden (Race 3, 1.46 pm). She has drawn gate five and Declan Bates rides.
FIREBASE CORAL goes around a big price here on the back of a moderate debut performance at Geelong over the shorter 1218m. That performance was probably better than the form card would suggest as it was a very tough day to make ground and she was doing her best work on the line. She was quite green and raw in trials and jump-outs across a couple of preparations leading into that debut and I suspect she is only going to improve with racing. The step in trip looks ideal and while I think she will need to make a significant improvement if she is to win this race, I believe she’s over the odds.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $41 (as at 9am)
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Race 4 (2:21 pm) Furphy Summer Of Racing Maiden Plate
No.15 TARZ LE ROSE – Mitch Aitkens (Barrier 8)
TARZ LE ROSE (9) heads to Geelong on Sunday, where she will contest a 1400m Maiden (Race 4, 2.21 pm). She has drawn gate eight and Mitch Aitken will ride.
TARZ LE ROSE trialled up like a filly with good ability leading into her debut and I think she’s far better suited at 1400m here. She got back on debut on a day it was arguably better to be handy to the speed and she was doing her best work on the line. She is going to derive plenty of benefit from that outing and she gave every indication in jump-outs prior that middle-distance trips would be her go. This is a very winnable race.
She’s a good chance today.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $11 (as at 8am)