The Henry Dwyer Racing stable has four runners today, with MISTER MOGUL at Flemington, HONORABLE SPIRIT and DOVES CRY at Morphettville and TINSZEL at Donald.
Flemington – Soft (5)
Race 1 (11.55am) The Belzoni
No.6 MISTER MOGUL – Michael Poy (Barrier 6)
MISTER MOGUL heads to Flemington today where he will contest The Belzoni, a 1000m BM90. He has drawn gate six and Michael Poy will ride.
Flemington is rated a Soft 5 and the rail is out 4m, but with this race down the straight it won’t impact this race. I suspect the middle lanes of the track will be the superior going down the straight.
This is as even a race as you’ll see and MISTER MOGUL has a huge winning chance. He rolled forward there and made his own luck up on speed at this track and trip last start and that win came on the back of a pretty unlucky run when missing the start at Bendigo the start prior. He can roll forward and make his own luck here and rated well by Michael Poy, he will be hard to catch.
A tough race and there’s plenty of chances, but MISTER MOGUL has a great chance of stringing two wins together.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $5.50 (as at 8am)
______________________________________________________________________________
Morphettville – Soft (5)
Race 1 (12.06pm) Terry Howe Printing Handicap
No.5 HONORABLE SPIRIT – Dom Tourneur (Barrier 3)
HONORABLE SPIRIT has headed over to Adelaide to contest in the 1550m BM66 at Morphettville, with Dom Tourneur booked to ride.
Scratched from Geelong yesterday, HONORABLE SPIRIT is in super order and this race sets up really well for him today. In a small field, the 1550m is an ideal distance for him and we should get some cover from barrier 3 and hopefully we can make our run early and sustain it.
A great chance at odds with some even luck in a race that lacks depth .
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $11 (as at 8am)
__________________
Race 7 (3.51pm) Furphy Handicap
No.3 DOVES CRY – Todd Pannell (Barrier 9)
DOVES CRY has also made the trip over to Adelaide to take part in the 1000m BM64 at Morphettville, with Todd Pannell booked to ride.
Also scratched from Geelong yesterday, she has drawn barrier 9 on the Morphettville Parks track which is far from ideal, however this race isn’t overly strong and with some even luck she should be competitive.
We have booked leading jockey Todd Pannell who will need to put in a good steer from the barrier and while it is hard to make ground from back at this track, she should be running on late and is one for the multiples at odds.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $17 (as at 8am)
______________________________________________________________________________
Donald – Good (4)
Race 5 (1.56pm) Gilchrist & Co 0 – 58 Handicap
No.16 TINSZEL – Zac Spain (Barrier 10)
TINSZEL heads to Donald today where she will tackle a 2000m 0-58. She has drawn gate ten and has Zac Spain booked.
The track at Donald is a Good 4 and the rail in the true position. The track has been racing really well and with light winds forecast that should again be the case again today. There may be a slight advantage to be on speed as there is with most tracks when it’s reasonably firm, but every horse should get their chance.
This isn’t an overly strong race. TINSZEL won a fairly moderate maiden two runs back but it was a decisive win and she still has more upside than most of her rivals today. She went around against much better opposition last start but even given that, she was most disappointing tailing off by some 10 lengths. If you put a line through that last run, she deserves to go around a short priced favourite here but from the wide draw with the potential of a few speed humps in the form of tiring horses in her way in the straight, she may need some luck in the run.
JEALOUS TYCOON is clearly the one to beat, but TINSZEL looks its main threat.
TAB WIN Fixed Odds – $4.80 (as at 8am)